Maria Lourdes Carle vs Sada Nahimana Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve: In recent form, Nahimana has a slight edge, winning 36.89% of her second serve points compared to Carle's 35.05%. Could this marginal advantage make a significant difference?
• Return Game: Nahimana's success rate on returning her opponent's second serve is 50.08%, while Carle outperforms with 53.43%. Carle also exceeds in first serve returns at 37.7% over Nahimana's 31.95%.
• Under Pressure: Nahimana excels at saving breakpoints, achieving a 48.23% success rate, while Carle manages 45.85%.
• Match Performance: In the past year, Nahimana boasts a higher match win rate of 66.67% (44-22) compared to Carle’s 54.17% (39-33). How much does their overall success rate play into the match outcome?
• Best Surface: Both players have their best win percentages on clay courts; Nahimana at 63% and Carle slightly higher at 66%.
• Player Level: Over the last year, Nahimana has been more successful in Challengers/ITF events (> $10K) with a 66.13% win rate, surpassing Carle's 57.14%.
• Head-to-Head: Nahimana has defeated Carle in their only encounter, winning in straight sets on clay at W 25 Torino.
• Match Duration: Their past encounter lasted approximately 1 hour and 50 minutes, with Nahimana controlling the match.
• Deciding Set Performance: Nahimana holds a slight edge in deciding sets, winning 53% compared to Carle's 50% over the last 12 months.
• Opponent Strength: Carle has faced stronger opponents on average, with an average opponent ranking of 189.97, compared to Nahimana's 380.98.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Both players are nearly identical in breakpoint conversion rates, with Carle slightly better at 39.36% to Nahimana's 39.08%.

Editorial Prediction (July 3, 2025, UTC):

In evaluating the upcoming match, several factors suggest that Nahimana might have a slight edge over Carle. Despite Carle's stronger Freturn game, Nahimana's efficiency in pivotal areas like breakpoint-saving and overall recent match win rate shows her robust competitiveness.

Additionally, Nahimana claimed victory in their previous encounter convincingly on clay, which is their best surface. Although Carle has faced tougher opponents, Nahimana's consistent performance in tournaments can’t be overlooked.

Ultimately, considering Nahimana's narrow advantages in second serve performance, career head-to-head success, and deciding set tenacity, she appears to be the marginal favorite in this matchup. Our prediction leans towards Sada Nahimana to emerge victorious in their upcoming tennis clash.